According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin was rejected at a crucial resistance level but he views it as the final hurdle before a potential breakout higher, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 28, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, a monthly close above the 20-month moving average would be favorable for bulls and could validate momentum toward the next leg up, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 28, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, clearing this resistance could open a path toward the psychological $100K target for BTC, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 28, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, a calm weekend would be preferable heading into the monthly close, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 28, 2025.

According to the source, Polymarket markets are pricing a 30% probability that Bitcoin (BTC) will reach $100,000 in October and only a 1% probability of $150,000, indicating traders see low near-term odds for an extreme upside tail (source: Polymarket market odds). These Polymarket-implied probabilities suggest positioning and risk management can focus on the $100k breakout zone as the key level while assigning minimal weight to scenarios above $150k for October, informing options premium, stop placement, and take-profit targets (source: Polymarket probabilities).